Your Engagement Survey Is a Decent Turnover Predictor. It's Not Enough.
A synthetic-data walkthrough of building a turnover risk score — and why the metric most companies already have needs company, not replacement.
Read →Insights
Thinking out loud about measurement, prediction, and people.
Writing on what good HR analytics looks like — and what it usually doesn't.
Your "High Potential" Raters Probably Don't Agree With Each Other
A synthetic-data walkthrough of turning "high potential" into a measured construct — and what happened when two independent raters scored the same people.
Read →Tenure and Performance Ratings Are Weak Predictors of Who Gets Promoted
A synthetic-data walkthrough of building a promotion-readiness model — and why the two inputs most companies rely on turned out to be the weakest ones in it.
Read →What Does It Mean to Measure Something?
Most HR teams think they have measurement problems. What they actually have is definition problems. You can't measure what you haven't defined.
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