Full walkthroughs — measurement design, model, results, and honest limitations — using synthetic or illustrative data. Not client work, but the same approach.
Most organizations already have a decent turnover predictor — the engagement survey — and stop there. Widening the lens to pay competitiveness, promotion stalling, and peer attrition lifted holdout AUC from 0.66 to 0.77.
"High potential" drives who gets development budget and succession slots, and most companies assign it by gut feel. A worked example of defining the construct, building a rubric, and checking whether two raters actually agree.
Tenure and last year's performance rating barely beat a coin flip at predicting who gets promoted. A structured behavioral rubric and a validated assessment did meaningfully better — and the write-up is honest about where it still falls short.